Forums » Introduce Yourself

A word of warning to all those soon-to-be Super

    • 494 posts
    May 18, 2019 11:59 AM HKT

     Bowl champions in New England or Los Angeles: Don't get too comfortable. You might be looking for a job fairly soon.The NFL's inexorable trend of going younger and cheaper does not bypass the best teams in the league. In fact Infant Darryl Johnson Jersey , it may help them stay as good as they are.An Associated Press analysis of Super Bowl champions over the past seven years revealed that title teams shed an average of 20.4 players off their 53-man rosters from the Super Bowl to Week 1 of the next season. That's 38.5 percent. On average, the new players had 1.8 fewer years of experience than the players they replaced. The findings were in line with data analyzed by the AP that showed a steady trend downward in experience of all teams despite attempts in the 2006 and 2011 collective bargaining agreements to stem that tide. Average experience on opening-day rosters has dropped from 4.6 years to 4.3 since 2005 ."I mean, look, there's a lot of turnover in the National Football League on every team in every year," Patriots coach Bill Belichick said. "It's the National Football League. Teams turn over a lot of players and a lot of coaches every single year, every single team."No team does it with quite the high-profile effectiveness as the Patriots, who have collected five Super Bowl titles since 2002, and will be going for No. 6 on Sunday against the Rams.New England's five Super Bowl champions turned over an average of 19.2 players the season after they won their titles. The season after their 2015 win over the Seahawks, they brought in 24 new players — the biggest number among all the teams surveyed in this analysis.How does all this turn out? Not very well, except for the Patriots. Of the past seven Super Bowl teams, none has repeated. Two have returned to the Super Bowl to lose. Two have lost in the playoffs. Three didn't even make the playoffs.The 2003-04 Patriots are the last team to repeat.Belichick's famously unsentimental view of rosters, and the players who fill them, has led to some of the most awkward, unpopular and sometimes downright messy break-ups in recent memory.Coming off a season in which the Patriots lost the AFC title game, Belichick traded away linebacker Jamie Collins — to the then 0-8 Browns Darryl Johnson Jersey Draft , no less — in the middle of the 2016 season. New England won the Super Bowl that year.Ty Law, Adam Vinatieri, Vince Wilfork, Richard Seymour. Lawyer Milloy, Jimmy Garoppolo, Wes Welker, Damien Woody. New England said goodbye to all of them when they still had gas left in the tank.They unexpectedly benched the cornerback who saved the 2015 Super Bowl, Malcolm Butler, at the Super Bowl three years later, then let him go via free agency. Drew Bledsoe got injured in 2001 and his days were numbered. He got traded to the Bills after a backup named Tom Brady stepped in and did fairly well.Through it all, Brady and Belichick have been the constant."Some of it is perception, and some of it is reality," said Eric Winston, the former NFL offensive lineman who is now the president of the players' union. "Every NFL team, in certain areas Darryl Johnson NFL Jersey , goes through maturations and goes through the process of, ‘How do we build a team?' And then it changes. One year, it's finding a few older free agents who can play. Another, everyone wants to get younger when the Seahawks win with an average age of" 26.4.The average experience on Seattle's 2013 Super Bowl champions was 3.66 years, the lowest among the teams AP surveyed. Not surprising, then, that Seattle only turned over 15 players from that roster. Seattle returned to the Super Bowl the next season, but went into a rebuilding mode not long after, with many of the top contributors from the Super Bowl teams becoming too pricey. The team scrambled to put fresh talent around still-young quarterback, Russell Wilson, but has never returned to the Super Bowl."Teams will try to find a younger, cheaper option even if the drop off in production isn't there" from the player they're cutting ties with, said Seahawks 11th-year offensive lineman Duane Brown. "If they're not as productive but a little cheaper they're willing to sacrifice it."Even by jettisoning around one-third of their rosters, teams don't always end up younger the next season. Of the 10 teams the AP analyzed — all seven title teams since 2011, along with the 2001 Darryl Johnson NFL Draft , 2003 and 2004 Patriots — six actually got older. That's because even with the turnover, essentially two-thirds of the roster stays and ages a year.That only amplifies the need to work hard at staying young.Jets offensive lineman Kelvin Beachum recalled conversations he's had with assistant coach David Diaz-Infante, who played on the Broncos title teams in the late 90s."He said, ‘Man, I remember when I was in my room, the youngest person in our room was 29,'" Beachum said. "That's considered almost older than a geezer now.'" Do the current Bills tend to draft players they’ve met with?"WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections NewsNotesOpinionAnalysisDiscussionPodcastNFL DraftSalary CapNFL DraftNotesBuffalo Bills NFL Draft CoverageHave the Buffalo Bills drafted the players they’ve taken the time to meet?New,19commentsDo the current Bills tend to draft players they’ve met with?EDTShareTweetShareShareHave the Buffalo Bills drafted the players they’ve taken the time to meet?During this time of year, football fans want nothing more than to crack the code for who their favorite team will draft. Trend analysis is one way to attempt to get inside the head of a football front office. We’ve already broken down the time allocated per position in an attempt to identify where the Buffalo Bills will focus their draft resources. For a follow up, let’s look to see if the Bills have a history of drafting specific players with whom they’ve met. We have (almost) two years of the current front office to work with, so we’ll take a look at both. As a disclaimer, current general manager Brandon Beane wasn’t technically with the team for the 2017 draft, though the rumor mill suggested he was in Sean McDermott’s ear at the time. This is short and sweet. While the Buffalo Bills had scouts at a lot of pro days where they had eyes on many of these players, they didn’t meet with the vast majority of players they drafted. The exception: Nathan Peterman. Of course they met with Nathan Peterman. With the distrust expressed toward Doug Whaley and his staff (what with the “firing them all” and everything) this isn’t exactly surprising. Unfortunately, it’s hard to chalk up 2017 as much more than an incomplete grade as a result. Let’s check in on 2018. And again we only have one player drafted that the team met with beforehand. And Darryl Johnson Buffalo Bills Jersey , it was the quarterback again, of course. With Brandon Beane and his team in place, there’s no reason to give this year an incomplete grade. There are, however, some things to consider. The Bills were almost singularly focused on quarterback in this draft with 15 visits spread across ten different players. While Josh Allen gives us a rare “yes” in the chart above, any of the top quarterback prospects would have done the same. Additionally, the chaos of the draft is also a probable factor. With teams having little certainty on player availability shortly after the draft starts it would be incredibly difficult to target mid- to late-round prospects for visits. Ultimately, there’s not a lot of predictive validity based on the two years of the Sean McDermott era when it comes to player visits translating to being drafted by Buffalo. Both years have been a bit odd. One as a result of a lack of trust in the scouts that did the work and the other due to the hyper focused approach toward quarterbacks.At pick nine, there’s a good chance a pre-draft visitor will be drafted by the Bills this year, but this isn’t a prediction based on prior drafts. Instead, it’s based on the volume of possible first-round talents the Bills have met with. A modest estimate would put at least ten first-round players face-to-face with Buffalo at some point in the pre-draft process. Even with some wheeling and dealing to move around the board, those are pretty good odds. As we enter what could be argued to be the first “typical” draft for the current Buffalo Bills’ front office, it will be interesting to see if any of their pre-draft activities can help predict draft-day outcomes.